764
AXNT20 KNHC 141018
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Gale Waring:
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir and
Tarfaya Marine Zones starting 14/12 UTC. For more details, please
refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their
website:

http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W.
The ITCZ continues from that point to 02S44W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A weakening stationary front meanders northwestward from southern
Florida to beyond New Orleans, Louisiana. Latest observations
along with composite satellite imagery reveal patchy dense fog is
present near northern Yucatan Peninsula, Naples Florida and along
the Texas/Louisiana coast. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and
seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen across the western Gulf, including the
Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate NNE to E winds and 1 to 3 ft
seas prevail for the central and eastern Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support light to gentle
winds across much of the Gulf, with the exception of moderate
winds across the western Gulf. Southerly return flow will
increase to fresh to strong speeds today ahead of a cold front
that will enter the Gulf waters this weekend. Strong S to SW winds
and rough seas are expected in the N-central and NE Gulf with
this frontal system on Sun. The front is forecast to move SE of
the area by Mon. High pres will build in the wake of the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A broad surface trough is generating scattered showers near
Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime persists across
much of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and 6 to 7 ft
seas are evident off northwestern Colombia. Moderate to fresh NE
to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft dominate the southeastern and
rest of the south-central basin, including the ABC Islands.
Moderate with fresh NE winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are noted at
the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage. Mostly gentle NE to E winds
and 2 to 5 ft seas prevail the rest of the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the coast
of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas
are expected with these winds. Strong winds will develop over
the Windward Passage and S of Dominican Republic this weekend as
a high pressure center passes N of the area and tightens the
pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
across 31N54W to 25N72W, then continues westward as a stationary
front to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered showers are present
near and up to 100 nm northwest of the front. Farther east,
convergent southerly winds are generating scattered moderate
convection N of 22N between 47W and 61W. Near and north of the
Mona Passage, a surface trough is causing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

For the western Atlantic north of 20N between 55W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast, gentle to moderate SW to NW to NE
winds with 5 to 7 ft seas are evident. To the east, moderate to
fresh E to SSE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate north of 27N
between 44W and 63W. For the tropical Atlantic from the Equator
to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
shift eastward with high pressure building in the wake of the
front. S winds will strengthen offshore north and central Florida
on Sun in advance of another cold front that will move off the SE
U.S. coast on Mon. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas are
expected in the wake of the front.

$$
ERA
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

654
AXNT20 KNHC 151026
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning:
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir, Tarfaya,
and Canarias Marine Zones, all of which are valid through at least
15/12 UTC. For more details, please refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas Forecast listed on their website: http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W. The
ITCZ continues from 04N19W through 02N30W to north of Sao Luis,
Brazil at 01N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted along the ITCZ between 20W and 37W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A pre-frontal trough has entered the NW Gulf, enhancing scattered
moderate convection N of 28N between 87W-91W. Otherwise, a broad
surface ridge extending southwestward from central Florida to
south of Tampico, Mexico dominates the area. Fresh to near-gale
southerly return flow and moderate seas prevail over the
northwestern waters. Strong S to SW winds and moderate seas are
noted across the central Gulf waters. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail across the northern portion of the Bay of
Campeche.

For the forecast, the fresh to near-gale southerly winds and
moderate seas will prevail over the northwestern waters ahead of
a cold front that will enter the NW Gulf waters by tonight. As
the front moves across the basin, rough seas will develop across
the northern Gulf today. The front is forecast to move SE of the
area by Mon afternoon, with winds and seas decreasing. High pres
will build in the wake of the front. Gentle to moderate winds with
slight to moderate seas will prevail by midweek.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough extends from Haiti to 15N75W. A trade-wind
regime persist for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong
NE winds and rough seas are present off northwestern Colombia,
south of the Dominican Republic and near the Windward Passage.
Fresh to strong ENE winds and moderate seas are found at the lee
of Cuba. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the
coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough
seas are expected with these winds. Strong winds will also pulse
over the Windward Passage and S of the Dominican Republic today as
a high pressure center passing N of the area maintains a tight
pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week, except
for light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
through 31N48W to 23N56W, then continues as a stationary to the
Dominican Republic. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are noted up to 80 nm along either side of the cold front. A 1024
mb high off the Georgia/South Carolina coast is supporting gentle
to moderate NE to SE winds with moderate seas north of 26N and
west of 50W. To the south, moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate
seas from 20N to 26N and west of 55W, including the central and
southeast Bahamas. Between 50W/55W and 35W, and north of 20N,
moderate with fresh SE to S winds and rough seas in mixed
moderate to large swells exist. For the tropical Atlantic from the
Equator to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to
moderate ENE to SE winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
build in the wake of the central Atlantic front. S winds will
strengthen offshore north and central Florida today in advance of
a cold front that will move off the SE U.S. coast on Mon. The
cold front will shift eastward over the forecast waters, moving
east of the area the middle of next week. Fresh to strong NE winds
and building seas are expected in the wake of the front. These
winds will diminish by the middle of next week, with rough seas
lingering E of 60W.

$$
ERA
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

062
AXNT20 KNHC 281007
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning East of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for
the Canarias and Agadir Marine Zones of Meteo France. The
forecast calls for NE winds to Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind
Scale, with severe gusts between the Canary Islands through at
least 01/0000 UTC. Seas currently range from 9 to 13 ft N of 10N
and E of 30W based on a recent altimeter pass. Higher seas of 12
to 15 ft are possible just N of the Canary Islands.

For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by Meteo-France at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiches/2

Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event: A robust
high pressure system near the Azores is maintaining fresh to
near gale-force trade winds across the eastern and central
Atlantic. Wind waves generated by these winds will continue to
generate seas of 8 to 13 ft across most of the waters between 20W
and 60W, with highest seas E of 40W. This event will persist
through early next week, while drifting SW.

Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near 11N14W, then extends southwestward to 05N18W. The ITCZ
continues from 05N18W to the coast of Brazil near 04S38W.
Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 06N and east of 30W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend region to a
1013 mb low pres near 27N87W and then to the south Texas coast. A
few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the SE Gulf
waters. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf, resulting in
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

For the forecast, the storm activity will progress southeastward
this morning and weaken. The weak front will slowly sink
southeastward and exit the basin tonight. Later, a strong high
pressure system will build west-southwestward over the area from
the N Atlantic beginning on Sun night, with the related gradient
generally supporting moderate to fresh east to southeast winds
across the Gulf. Locally strong winds will occur at night off N
Yucatan Tue and Wed.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A strong high pressure system centered over the central Atlantic
combines with the Colombian low to support fresh to near gale-
force trade winds over the central Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 10 ft
with these winds. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
dominate the eastern Caribbean, while mainly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds with moderate seas are noted over the NW part of the
basin. Seas to 8 ft are noted across the Atlantic passages in the
Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast, an expansive subtropical ridge over the central
Atlantic will support fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds
and moderate to rough seas across the central and eastern Caribbean
over the next several days. A tighter pressure gradient will
initiate gale-force winds off Colombia at night Mon through at least
late next week and support locally very rough seas. Fresh to strong
trades expected elsewhere across most of the central and eastern
portions of the basin. In the meantime, rough seas in mixed swell
will prevail in the tropical N Atlantic through the forecast period,
with seas to 12 ft reaching 55W Mon. Elsewhere, little change is
expected with moderate to fresh trades continuing through the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale warning is in effect E of 35W. Please, see the Special
Features section for more information.

A nearly stationary front has exited the coast off NE Florida,
supporting numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms W of 75W
and N of 27N. Meanwhile, a 1034 mb high pressure system located
near the Azores extends an extensive ridge across the entire
Atlantic forecast waters. The tight pressure gradient between the
ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa
result in fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to
very rough seas over much of the central and eastern Atlantic.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough seas are found north of
20N and between 50W and 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is expected
to move slowly southeastward and weaken across the waters W of
65W through Sun night before dissipating. Elsewhere, high pressure
over the central Atlantic continues to maintain control over much
of the western Atlantic while rough seas prevail over the SE
waters. Another cold front is expected to enter the northern
waters early next week and gradually shift southeastward and
weaken. Fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to very
rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, are forecast behind the front
Mon through Tue night north of 27N. High pressure will build by
the middle of next week resulting in moderate to fresh winds and
rough seas over much of the basin.

$$
Delgado
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

354
AXNT20 KNHC 161110 RRA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is just inland the
southeastern coast of the U.S. Ahead of it, southerly winds have
increased to 25 to 35 kt in a tightening pressure gradient over a a
portion of the waters east of northern Florida along with seas of 8
to 11 ft. These winds are primarily north of 29N and between 75W and
77W. They will spread eastward during the morning. The cold front
will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central
Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected
to shift north of 31N.

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where latest scatterometer data
indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ to inland Brazil at
02S47W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 120 nm south of the trough between 16W-20W and within 60 nm
north of the trough between 17W-20W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from is analyzed from north-central Florida
southwestward to 25N88W to the central Bay of Campeche. Overnight
scatterometer satellite data shows fresh west to northwest winds
behind the front to near 90W, and gentle to moderate north to
northeast winds are west of 90W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the winds
behind the front, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 25N east of 94W
and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere, except for lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the
far northwest Gulf and in the Bay of Campeche.

For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this
afternoon. Winds over the NE Gulf will gradually diminish this
morning as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide
eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate
along with slight to moderate seas beginning this afternoon and
continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds
develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in
coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front
move through central Texas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward
into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh northeast to east
winds prevail north of about 15N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh
to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N,
with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, a 1034 mb high
pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas east of 80W, and gentle
to moderate southeast winds in the the northwestern part of the basin.

For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail
near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate
to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds
over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for portions of the northwest waters
for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section
above for more details.

A cold front is analyzed from the north-central Atlantic through
31N41W to 23N49W, then becomes stationary to 19N63W and a frontal
remnant trough to Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh north to northeast
winds as seen in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes are
north and northwest of the front to near 72W. Anticyclonic light to
gentle winds are north of 24N between of 51W and 57W in response to
a 1023 mb high center near 32N61W and a 1024 mb high center that is
near 33N53W. North of 25N and west of 72W, southerly winds are fresh
to near gale outside the gale-force winds as described above under
Special Features. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 3 ft
or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and
3 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft
north of 18N between 46W and 52W, and seas of 7 to 9 ft north of 27N
between 37W and 46W with fresh to strong south winds ahead of a cold front.

East of the cold front to 35W and north f 26N, fresh south to
southwest winds prevail along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. East of 35W
and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to
an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near
36N14W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere south of 20N to the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area,
low pressure intensifying offshore the Carolinas will pull a cold
front across the offshore waters of northern Florida today.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front, with a
squall line are north of 28N between 74W and 77W. This activity
will continue eastward into the afternoon. The cold front will
reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba
by early this afternoon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas
and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and
stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move
east of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with
frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding
areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will
precede the front today. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and
building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Seas may
possibly reach 14 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, then
shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving east
of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue.
Rough seas will linger elsewhere east of 60W through Thu. Mariners
are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

$$
Aguirre
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

487
AXNT20 KNHC 191033
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Mar 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1010 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

East Atlantic Gale Warning: A gale warning is in effect, issued by Meteo-France, for the high seas zones of Irving, west of Madeira,
and Meteor until 20/00 UTC at least, with severe gusts. Please refer
to the next Special Feature for details on associated large swells.
Please refer to the high seas forecast issued by Meteo-France on the
website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

East Atlantic Long-period N Swell: Large, long-period north swell
generated by a large fetch of gale to storm-force winds in the
northeast Atlantic will continue to propagate southward of 31N
through the weekend. Expect seas of 12-24 ft through Sat mainly N
of the Cape Verde Islands and east of 43W. Seas across these
northeastern waters will then gradually reduce in areal coverage
and subside below 12 ft near the Canary Islands on Mon. Please
refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W, then curves southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ
continues from 04N17W to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near
01S46W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is ongoing
from 03S to 05N west of 10W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1025 mb high pressure system near the mouth of the Mississippi
River dominates the Gulf of Mexico. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and lower pressures associated with a stationary front
east of the area results in fresh to strong NE winds across the
Florida Straits with rough seas, and moderate to fresh NE winds
and moderate seas elsewhere in the eastern Gulf, east of 90W.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge across
the Gulf region and a stationary front over the NW Caribbean Sea
will continue to support fresh to locally strong NE winds and
moderate to rough seas over the SE Gulf, including the Straits of
Florida, through Fri. A surface trough will come off the Yucatan
Peninsula every evening with moderate to fresh NE winds, which
will affect the eastern Bay of Campeche from Sat through Mon.
Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds, and slight to moderate seas
will prevail.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front extends from central Cuba to the Gulf on
Honduras. A surface trough is ahead of the front curving SE to NW
Colombia offshore waters. Low level convergence induced by both
the front and the pre-frontal trough continue to support scattered
showers across E Cuba and adjacent waters N of 17N. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds with seas to 7 ft are behind of the front
over the NW Caribbean. Over the eastern and central Caribbean,
moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong N winds and rough seas
will continue to follow the stationary front through Fri night as
it transitions to a cold front today before dissipating offshore
Nicaragua late Fri. Afterward, moderate to fresh NE winds will
remain in the western Caribbean, including the lee side of Cuba
and the Windward Passage as high pressure develops across the
northern Bahamas in the wake of the front. As the ridge shifts
slightly eastward, fresh to strong winds will develop offshore
Colombia Sun through Mon night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section for details on an east
Atlantic Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France, and associated large
northerly swells.

A stationary front extends from 31N69W to Andros Island to
central Cuba into the NW Caribbean. A pre-frontal trough is
analyzed from 30N66W to the southern Bahamas. Heavy showers and
isolated thunderstorms associated with both features cover the
offshore waters between 61W and 78W. Fresh to strong NE winds
and moderate to rough seas are noted behind of the front while
moderate to fresh SE winds are ahead of it along with moderate to
rough seas.

An extensive 1032 mb high pressure system centered near 38N44W
dominates the remainder SW N Atlantic and central subtropical
waters. Over the eastern subtropical waters, a cold front is
moving across the Canary Islands with a reinforcing front trailing
the leading front. The pressure gradient between the broad ridge
and the low pressure system associated with the front is
supporting fresh to near gale-force winds and very rough seas to
22 ft, N of 24N and east of 41W to the coast of Africa. Moderate
to fresh winds and rough seas under a relatively tight pressure
gradient are present between 60W and 41W, including the tropical waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the front will remain nearly
stationary west of Bermuda to the central Bahamas today, then it
will transition to a cold front as a low pressure attached to the
front moves quickly NE of the forecast area through Sat night.
High pressure over the SE CONUS and over the north-central
Atlantic will continue to support fresh to strong winds and rough
seas on either side of the front and across the offshore forecast
waters N of 25N through the weekend. A new cold front is forecast
to enter the NE Florida offshore waters Mon night into Tue, which
will bring strong winds and rough seas to the area.

$$
Ramos
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

947
AXNT20 KNHC 201028
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Mar 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1020 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

East Atlantic Gale Warning: Meteo-France has issued a gale
warning, in effect for the high seas zones of Irving, west of
Madeira, Meteor and Agadir, until 21/00 UTC at least, with severe
gusts. Please refer to the next Special Feature for details on
associated very large swells. Please refer to the high seas
forecast issued by Meteo-France on the website:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

East Atlantic Long-period N Swell: Very large, long-period north
swell generated by a large fetch of gale to storm-force winds in
the northeast Atlantic will continue to propagate southward of 31N
through the weekend. Expect seas of 12-24 ft into Sat night,
mainly N of the Cape Verde Islands and east of 43W. Seas across
these northeastern waters will then gradually reduce in areal
coverage with the remaining very rough seas subsiding below 12 ft
near the Canary Islands Mon. Please refer to the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N11W, then curves southwestward to 04N14W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N14W to 01N30W to 01S47W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is observed from 06S to 05N and
west of 16W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging anchored by a 1024 mb high near the mouth of the
Mississippi River extends basin-wide, maintaining fairly tranquil
weather conditions. The pressure gradient between this ridge and
a stationary front SE of the area is leading to fresh to locally
strong NE winds across the SE Gulf, along with moderate to rough
seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge across
the Gulf region and a weakening stationary front over the western
Caribbean Sea will continue to support fresh to locally strong NE
winds and moderate to rough seas over the SE Gulf, including the
Straits of Florida, through today. Moderate to fresh NE winds are
expected nightly, through the forecast period, across the eastern
Bay of Campeche due to local effects associated with a thermal
trough. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through Tue night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weakening stationary front extends from eastern Cuba to the
offshore waters of northern Costa Rica. A few showers are noted
ahead of the front. Fresh to locally strong N winds prevail W of
the front, with seas to 7 ft. To the east of these features,
gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong N winds and moderate to
rough seas will continue behind the front, which is forecast to
dissipate tonight over the SW Caribbean offshore waters.
Afterward, moderate to locally strong NE winds will remain in the
western Caribbean, including the lee side of Cuba and the Windward
Passage through Sun night as high pressure develops across the
northern Bahamas in the wake of the front. As the ridge shifts
slightly eastward, fresh to strong winds will also develop
offshore Colombia Sun evening and prevail through Tue night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section for details on an east
Atlantic Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France and associated large
northerly swells across the far NE waters.

A stationary front extends from 31N66W to the central Bahamas and
eastern Cuba. A low pressure is now embedded within the front,
which is located near 27N70W. Scattered heavy showers are seen
mainly ahead of the frontal boundary to about 57W. High pressure
building behind the front is supporting fresh to strong northerly
winds and rough to very rough seas to the west of the front while
a broad surface ridge over the central Atlantic supports fresh to
strong southerlies ahead of the front and N of 25N. Rough seas to
10 ft are ahead of the front.

In the east Atlantic, a cold front is just E of the Canary
Islands, which extends to 21N23W to 23N38W. A reinforcing cold
front is approaching the Canary Islands. Strong to near gale
northerly winds and rough to very rough seas are north of 21N and
east of 42W, with hazardous marine conditions in association with
this front depicted further in the aforementioned Special Marine
section above. The rough seas in NE swell extend much farther S
and W, reaching to 15N and as far W as 55W.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to near gale force winds and
rough seas on either side of the front, and N of 25N, will
continue to affect the offshores from west to east through the Sun
night as the front transitions to a cold front today. Looking
ahead, a new cold front is forecast to enter the NE Florida
offshore waters Mon night into Tue, followed by fresh to strong NE
to E winds and rough seas. These marine conditions are forecast
to affect most of the waters N of 27N through the middle of the next week.

$$
Ramos
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)