718
AXNT20 KNHC 081001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A
cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and into western
Cuba. Gale-force W winds of up to 45 kt follow this cold front N
of 27N to 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 20 to
30 ft. Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the
gale area due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area
of strong mainly W winds, N of 23N between 40W and 77W. Widespread
gale-force to near storm- force winds will impact waters W of the
front, north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will
reach a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale-force winds behind
the front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue
morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate
SE and impact much of the waters into mid-week, with peak seas of
33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. The very rough
seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft Wed.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 07N12W and extends southwestward to near 04N18W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N30W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 00N to 03N between 25W and 30W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the upper
Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of the
boundary, with a 1024 mb high centered near 23N94W. NE of the
front, Moderate NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with light to
gentle winds and slight seas to the SW.

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin, bringing
quiescent weather into late week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front is noted from from western Cuba across the Yucatan
Channel. A stationary front extends from Puerto Rico to the
central basin near 15N72W. Mainly NE winds are present through the
basin, with moderate seas.

For the forecast, the cold front will overtake the stationary
front later today, then slide east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds
will increase in the wake of the front, becoming strong initially
offshore Colombia and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much
of the central basin Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the
western Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will
accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell
will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N
Atlantic waters tonight into Wed.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and significant swell in the western and central Atlantic.

Aside from the gale and significant swell, a reinforcing cold
front extends from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas. Ahead of the main
cold front, responsible for the gales, a weakening stationary
front extends from 31N48W to Puerto Rico. In the far east
Atlantic, a 1026 mb high pressure is centered just W of the Canary
Islands, and dominates the basin outside of the aforementioned
frontal boundaries. This is leading to fresh NE to E trades and
moderate to rough seas S of 20N and E of 50W, with moderate or
lesser winds and seas elsewhere SE of a 31N30W to Puerto Rico line.

For the forecast W of 55W, gales will spread east as cold front
moves E across the waters, impacting areas N of 27N through Mon.
This front will merge with a stationary front that is over the SE
waters tonight, then move E of the area by Mon night, allowing
winds to gradually diminish. Very rough seas will impact most of
the waters E of 77W through Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of
Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft through tonight.

$$
Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

382
AXNT20 KNHC 101010
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Feb 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning and Significant Swell: A 994 mb low
pressure is centered well NE of Bermuda near 38N51W. The gradient
between this low and a 1026 mb high pressure moving E just N of
the NW Bahamas is supporting gale-force WNW winds N of 30N
between 47W and 56W. Fresh to strong W winds extend southward to
28N from 32W and 65W. Gales will end this morning, and the fresh
to strong winds will diminish into tonight, as the low pressure to
the north weakens and moves farther from the area. An extensive
area of very rough seas in NW to N well remains over the waters N
of 18N between 28W and 68W, with peak seas around 24 ft near
30N50W. These seas will only slowly decay from W to E, finally
falling below 12 ft for most areas by Wed night. Mariners are
urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

South-Central Caribbean Gale Warning: High pressure building
southeastward across the western Atlantic and northern Caribbean
will tighten the pressure gradient across the basin. This will
result in strong NE winds over the central and SW Caribbean, with
winds pulsing to gale-force offshore Colombia tonight and again
Wed night. Seas will build to 11 ft in association with these
gales.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W to 02N29W. The ITCZ continues from 02N30W to
00N42W. Scattered moderate convection extends from 00N to 06N
between 08W and 33W and from 00N to 04N between 37W and 42W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge extends across the Gulf, anchored by a 1026 mb
high pressure centered over Georgia. This pattern is maintaining
mainly gentle SE winds, except for some moderate to locally fresh
S winds off NE Mexico and southern Texas. Seas are 1 to 2 ft in
the NE Gulf, 2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate Gulf
waters through late week, bringing a gentle to moderate mainly
southerly flow. Locally fresh winds are expected today and tonight
just west of the Yucatan Peninsula and over the far western
waters. Slight to moderate seas will prevail. Looking ahead,
southerly winds may increase this weekend ahead of an approaching cold front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning in effect for waters offshore Colombia.

High pressure N of the area is building southeastward toward the
Caribbean, which is increasing NE winds over much of the basin to
fresh to strong speeds. Seas are mainly 5 to 7 ft, although rough
seas are occurring in the SW basin offshore Colombia, S of
Hispaniola, and through Atlantic passages from the Mona Passage eastward.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the western Atlantic and the Colombian/Panamanian low will
support fresh to strong winds across most of the central
Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, and the waters between
Cuba and Jamaica into Wed night. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and again Wed night offshore Colombia. Meanwhile, large NW
to N swell will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and
tropical N Atlantic waters into Wed creating hazardous marine conditions.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a gale
warning and significant swell in the central Atlantic.

Hazardous marine conditions dominate much of the central
subtropical basin, as described in the Special Features section,
in association with a large and deep low pressure system moving
northeastward across the northwest Atlantic. A stationary front
extends from 31N39W to the northern Leeward Islands, separating a
pair of 1025 mb high pressure centers, one just N of the NW
Bahamas and the other over the Canary Islands. Winds are moderate
or less, with moderate seas outside of the Special Features area,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades that exist south of
a line from the Canary Islands to the Windward Islands.

For the forecast west of 55W, near gale-force winds in the far NE
waters will gradually diminish into tonight as high pressure
moves eastward across the waters. On the west side of the high,
southwesterly winds will increase over the NW waters starting
tonight, then reach strong speeds Wed, with seas building to rough
N of 28N. These winds will prevail over northern waters through
Wed night, before shifting to strong NW as a cold front crosses
the waters into Thu. Very rough seas in NW to N swell E of 67W
will gradually decay below 12 ft from W to E today and tonight,
with improved seas by Wed. Peak seas this morning SE of Bermuda
along 31N will be as high as 18 ft.

$$
Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)