?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-Iran-War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the expense of
oil demand.?

Meh. The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price. People
have temporary options to move to something else or they stop using
energy for a while.

When and if the price for oil drops, the demand will skyrocket again.
Oil is just too flexible as an energy source for people to walk away
from it.

Lynn


--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?



On 4/24/26 19:25, Lynn McGuire wrote:

?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-Iran- War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the expense of
oil demand.?

Meh.ÿ The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price.ÿ People
have temporary options to move to something else or they stop using
energy for a while.

When and if the price for oil drops, the demand will skyrocket again.
Oil is just too flexible as an energy source for people to walk away
from it.

Lynn

Such may be your hope and desire but i hope you live long enough
to enjoy a hot house earth. That is what your desire will achieve.

--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On 4/24/2026 10:08 PM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:

On 4/24/26 19:25, Lynn McGuire wrote:

?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-
Iran- War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has
permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a
shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the
expense of oil demand.?

Meh.ÿ The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price.ÿ People
have temporary options to move to something else or they stop using
energy for a while.

When and if the price for oil drops, the demand will skyrocket again.
Oil is just too flexible as an energy source for people to walk away
from it.

Lynn

ÿÿÿÿSuch may be your hope and desire but i hope you live long enough
to enjoy a hot house earth.ÿ That is what your desire will achieve.

I am way past my "use by" date already. I was born without a heart
right coronary artery. Pistol Pete was born without his heart left
coronary artery and he passed away at age 40. I am 65 and had my first
heart attack at 49 and the second at 53. I survived both my heart
surgeries and am living the good life, hoping to make it to 70. My
heart is only 30% enlarged and 20% dead (the back side where the right
artery feeds). God designed us with a single pump system but only for
45 years according to my best guess so I am way past that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pete_Maravich

Earth will not grow hot due to the greenhouse effect. Greenhouses are
closed systems but Earth is an open system. But, Earth may grow warm
due to total energy usage by the human race which is growing at 3 to 5%
per year. But no significant heat up for hundreds of years. The solar
power satellites will be going up soon, maybe in 2029, and solar energy
that would normally bypass Earth will be captured and microwaved to
receiving stations on Earth. Plus nuclear is at a renaissance and we
will see around a 50 to 60 new large nuclear power plants in the next
ten years and 400 to 500 small nuclear power plants also in the next ten years. Maybe double that if the new small nuclear plants really take off.

We are spoiled, we still live in an Ice Age. An Ice Age is defined as
when one or both of the poles are frozen. Earth has been much warmer in
the not so distant past.

Lynn


--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?



On 4/24/26 20:32, Lynn McGuire wrote:

On 4/24/2026 10:08 PM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:

On 4/24/26 19:25, Lynn McGuire wrote:

?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-
Iran- War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has
permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a
shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the
expense of oil demand.?

Meh.ÿ The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price.ÿ People
have temporary options to move to something else or they stop using
energy for a while.

When and if the price for oil drops, the demand will skyrocket again.
Oil is just too flexible as an energy source for people to walk away
from it.

Lynn

ÿÿÿÿÿSuch may be your hope and desire but i hope you live long enough
to enjoy a hot house earth.ÿ That is what your desire will achieve.

I am way past my "use by" date already.ÿ I was born without a heart
right coronary artery.ÿ Pistol Pete was born without his heart left
coronary artery and he passed away at age 40.ÿ I am 65 and had my first heart attack at 49 and the second at 53.ÿ I survived both my heart
surgeries and am living the good life, hoping to make it to 70.ÿ My
heart is only 30% enlarged and 20% dead (the back side where the right artery feeds).ÿ God designed us with a single pump system but only for
45 years according to my best guess so I am way past that.
ÿÿ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pete_Maravich

Earth will not grow hot due to the greenhouse effect.ÿ Greenhouses are closed systems but Earth is an open system.ÿ But, Earth may grow warm
due to total energy usage by the human race which is growing at 3 to 5%
per year.ÿ But no significant heat up for hundreds of years.ÿ The solar power satellites will be going up soon, maybe in 2029, and solar energy
that would normally bypass Earth will be captured and microwaved to receiving stations on Earth.ÿ Plus nuclear is at a renaissance and we
will see around a 50 to 60 new large nuclear power plants in the next

Whales and penguins are dying for lack of their proper food and nesting sites. Sharks are dying of overheating.
The Ocean is already too hot and we will derive less and less protein from
that source. Insect vectors for many diseases are moving North and South
and intruding into areas that have no natural predators on these illness spreading
pests.
Places in the world where Humanity has existed for many years are getting
too hot for survival. Low-lying agricultural lands in Asia are being
flooded every
growing season.

I am lucky that I did not suffer your debility.

ten years and 400 to 500 small nuclear power plants also in the next ten
years.ÿ Maybe double that if the new small nuclear plants really take off.

We are spoiled, we still live in an Ice Age.ÿ An Ice Age is defined as
when one or both of the poles are frozen.ÿ Earth has been much warmer in
the not so distant past.

Lynn

--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On Fri, 24 Apr 2026 21:25:22 -0500, Lynn McGuire wrote:

?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-Iran-War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a
shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the
expense of oil demand.?

Meh. The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price.

Actually, if oil were that essential and irreplaceable, demand would
be very *in*elastic -- people would pay whatever it takes, rather than
do without. The fact that people *can* substitute something else means
that higher oil prices will encourage them to do so.

And the worry about this sort of nonsense happening again will make
them a bit reluctant to switch back in future. Once bitten, twice shy,
and all that.

--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On Fri, 24 Apr 2026 22:32:35 -0500, Lynn McGuire wrote:

Earth will not grow hot due to the greenhouse effect. Greenhouses
are closed systems but Earth is an open system.

Maybe you don?t understand what ?closed? and ?open? systems are.
Greenhouses are very much ?open? systems.

--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On 4/24/2026 11:40 PM, Lawrence D?Oliveiro wrote:

On Fri, 24 Apr 2026 21:25:22 -0500, Lynn McGuire wrote:

?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEAs-Birol-Says-Iran-War-Will-Permanently-Cut-Into-Future-Oil-Demand.html

?International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol says the Iran war has
permanently changed the fossil fuel industry and will accelerate a
shift toward renewables, nuclear power and electrification at the
expense of oil demand.?

Meh. The demand for oil is very elastic based on the price.

Actually, if oil were that essential and irreplaceable, demand would
be very *in*elastic -- people would pay whatever it takes, rather than
do without. The fact that people *can* substitute something else means
that higher oil prices will encourage them to do so.

And the worry about this sort of nonsense happening again will make
them a bit reluctant to switch back in future. Once bitten, twice shy,
and all that.

We have had several oil shortages or near shortages in my lifetime.
People keep on going back to it because of the energy density and the convenience.

However, when the price gets too high, people also shut down the
processes that they were running until the price gets in line again.
For instance, many factories have their own power generation using
mostly diesel or natural gas. When the price of fuel gets too high,
they shut down until they can raise their prices or the price of the
fuel goes back down.

Lynn


--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On Sat, 25 Apr 2026 00:18:25 -0500, Lynn McGuire wrote:

We have had several oil shortages or near shortages in my lifetime.

This is easily the worst one yet -- worse than the 1970s oil crisis.
Not least because a madman keeps threatening to exterminate those who
stand in his way.

--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: ?IEA?s Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand?

On 4/25/2026 12:53 AM, Lawrence D?Oliveiro wrote:

On Sat, 25 Apr 2026 00:18:25 -0500, Lynn McGuire wrote:

We have had several oil shortages or near shortages in my lifetime.

This is easily the worst one yet -- worse than the 1970s oil crisis.
Not least because a madman keeps threatening to exterminate those who
stand in his way.

You are kidding, right. The 1973 Arab Oil Embargo crippled the entire
planet with massive shortages for several months from October 1973 to
March 1974. The current oil shortage is not affecting the USA other
than prices since we are mostly self supporting. And the USA uses 20%
of the world's crude to support itself, Mexico, and Europe with
distillate products.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis

Lynn


--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)

Subject: Re: "IEA's Birol Says Iran War Will Permanently Cut Into Future Oil Demand"

Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

[...]

We are spoiled, we still live in an Ice Age. An Ice Age is defined as when one or both of the poles are frozen. Earth has been much warmer in the
not so distant past.

True.

The ratio of "greenhouse" to "icehouse" (ice age) periods is ~3:1.
We are currently in an interglacial stage during an ice age. Earth
has often switched between ice age and greenhouse conditions.


----[ChatGPT]----

Over Earth's history, non-icehouse (ice-free) conditions have been
more common than ice ages.

A useful approximation:

Icehouse periods (ice ages): ~20?25% of the last ~540 million years
Greenhouse periods (no permanent ice): ~75?80%

So the rough ratio is: about 1 : 3 (ice ages : non-ice ages)

Examples for context:

Major ice ages: Late Paleozoic, current Quaternary.
Long ice-free stretches: much of the Mesozoic (when dinosaurs lived).

This estimate depends on how strictly "ice age" is defined, but the
overall pattern is clear: Earth spends most of its time without
permanent polar ice.

----[end]----

--
^?^. Sn!pe, bird-brain. My pet rock Gordon just is.


--- PyGate Linux v1.5.14
* Origin: Dragon's Lair, PyGate NNTP<>Fido Gate (3:633/10)