• War with Russia

    From Joseph Pereira@1:124/5016 to All on Wed Oct 15 06:09:14 2025

    At this point, that's not something that can be taken seriously as being realistic NOW. But if relations with Russia don't improve in the coming years, it's certainly possible that Russia will want to start a war with the West. Not to occupy Western Europe, but to, for example, still occupy Ukraine, Moldova, Finland, and the Baltic States. A bit like how they took Crimea from Ukraine and then essentially confronted the West with a situation that's already been resolved.

    Does the West really want to start a war if Russia only invades Estonia with little green men?

    And if they then invade Latvia as well?

    And then Lithuania?

    As soon as NATO shows any hesitation in the coming years, Russia will take its chances. Russia won't invade immediately with an army. They've learned that lesson. No, they'll use small groups of little green men, just as they did in eastern Ukraine. They'll make it seem as if the population was revolting. In Estonia, a third of the population is originally Russian, so how unlikely is it that some sympathize with the Russians?

    Only when unrest has become firmly established in society will they "restore order." Leaders like Trump and Orbán can then distract and disrupt NATO, preventing a NATO response.

    Estonia will then be lost, and if NATO sticks to its words, it will become a stepping stone to a new country.

    That's how I personally see the danger of Russia. As long as that country desires to become even greater, the risk of war will remain. Russia simply never got past the phase of continuous colonialization. It is and remains a colonial power that never had to definitively surrender, as the European powers were forced to do after World War II.

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  • From Aaron Thomas@1:342/201 to Joseph Pereira on Wed Oct 15 19:36:36 2025
    Does the West really want to start a war if Russia only invades Estonia

    I'll estonia if I can find any good weed. ;)

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