• Dash-8 incorrect takeoff configuration.

    From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Tue Jan 21 16:28:30 2025
    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff performance
    monitoring, no matter the size.

    Sylvia.

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Thu Jan 23 15:50:41 2025
    On 23-Jan-25 1:21 am, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff performance
    monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problem being fixed quickly enough to
    stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough information to determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are correct, and whether
    the aircraft will be able to both continue a takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    It can issue an abort alert if not. This covers at least miscalculated
    v1, miscalculated vr, wrong thrust settings, wrong flap settings,
    starting from the wrong intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and
    no doubt others that I haven't even thought of.

    Sylvia.

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Fri Jan 24 17:14:13 2025
    On 23-Jan-25 5:09 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoffperformance
    monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ beingfixed quickly enough
    toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are
    correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a takeoff, and
    stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.


    It would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    See above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong thrust
    settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong intersection,
    takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others that I haven't even
    thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current configuration,
    with the measured acceleration [*], current airspeed, and current
    position on the current runway, can the aircraft reach the specified V1
    at a point where it can continue the takeoff or abort, and will it be
    able to rotate at the specified Vr.

    [*] This also gives a reasonable estimate of the mass, assuming that the engine thrust is as commanded, or the engine thrust assuming that the
    mass is as configured, and allows an abort alert if the mass,
    acceleration, and thrust are not consistent with each other.

    Sylvia.

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Sat Jan 25 00:59:54 2025
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are
    correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a takeoff,
    and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong
    thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong
    intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others
    that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current configuration,
    with the measured acceleration [*], current airspeed, and current
    position on the current runway, can the aircraft reach the specified
    V1 at a point where it can continue the takeoff or abort, and will it
    be able to rotate at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea is
    to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    Like I said, it makes much more sense to check that
    the pilots have set what they have caculated nees to
    be set before takeoff power is allowed to be applied

    [*] This also gives a reasonable estimate of the mass, assuming that
    the engine thrust is as commanded, or the engine thrust assuming that
    the mass is as configured, and allows an abort alert if the mass,
    acceleration, and thrust are not consistent with each other.

    Not reasible to measure that during the takeoff run before V1

    Why not?

    Sylvia.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Daryl@3:633/280.2 to All on Sat Jan 25 09:19:00 2025
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ >>>>>>> report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are
    correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a takeoff,
    and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong
    thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong
    intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others
    that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current airspeed,
    and current position on the current runway, can the aircraft reach
    the specified V1 at a point where it can continue the takeoff or
    abort, and will it be able to rotate at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea is
    to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff so
    the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?




    --
    Daryl

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Sat Jan 25 16:17:01 2025
    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ >>>>>>>> report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are >>>>>> correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a takeoff, >>>>>> and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong
    thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong
    intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others
    that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current airspeed,
    and current position on the current runway, can the aircraft reach
    the specified V1 at a point where it can continue the takeoff or
    abort, and will it be able to rotate at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea
    is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff so
    the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?




    I sent a reply to this, but I'm not seeing it. If you can't see it
    either, I'll post it again.

    Sylvia.

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Sat Jan 25 19:44:58 2025
    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ >>>>>>>> report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr are >>>>>> correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a takeoff, >>>>>> and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong
    thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong
    intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others
    that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current airspeed,
    and current position on the current runway, can the aircraft reach
    the specified V1 at a point where it can continue the takeoff or
    abort, and will it be able to rotate at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea
    is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff so
    the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?





    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy so as
    not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which runway the
    aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends on
    the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until there
    is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from the expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result should match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the mass is set wrong, or
    the expected thrust, based on the thrust setting, is not being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    From the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the calculated V1
    is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends on
    runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    Sylvia.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Daryl@3:633/280.2 to All on Sat Jan 25 22:36:40 2025
    On 25/1/2025 7:44 pm, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/
    investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr
    are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a
    takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong
    thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong
    intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others >>>>>>> that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current
    airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the
    aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can continue
    the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate at the
    specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea
    is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff
    so the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?





    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy so as
    not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which runway the
    aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends on
    the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until there
    is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from the expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result should match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the mass is set wrong, or
    the expected thrust, based on the thrust setting, is not being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    From the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the calculated V1
    is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends on runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    Sylvia.


    My piloting experience is 5hrs training in a helicopter so not much but
    to me it sounds a bit complex and still open to input error to be of
    much value?
    Might be feasible on newer complex aircraft but retrofitting such a
    system on older aircraft would most likely be very expensive and maybe
    not even possible.
    You didn't answer the question about self reporting, was that mentioned
    in the ATSB report?


    --
    Daryl

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Sun Jan 26 01:12:49 2025
    On 25-Jan-25 7:36 pm, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 7:44 pm, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/
    investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr >>>>>>>> are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a
    takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong >>>>>>>> thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong >>>>>>>> intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others >>>>>>>> that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current
    airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the
    aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can continue
    the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate at the
    specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea
    is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff
    so the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?





    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy so
    as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the GPS
    calculated position allows the system to determine which runway the
    aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where runways
    intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends on
    the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until there
    is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from the
    expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result should
    match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the mass is
    set wrong, or the expected thrust, based on the thrust setting, is not
    being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the braking
    distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the calculated V1
    is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends on
    runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    Sylvia.


    My piloting experience is 5hrs training in a helicopter so not much but
    to me it sounds a bit complex and still open to input error to be of
    much value?
    Might be feasible on newer complex aircraft but retrofitting such a
    system on older aircraft would most likely be very expensive and maybe
    not even possible.
    You didn't answer the question about self reporting, was that mentioned
    in the ATSB report?



    I can't find a specific reference to how this came to the attention of
    the ATSB. Most likely it was reported to Qantas Link by the pilots, and
    Qantas Link then reported it to the ATSB.

    Sylvia.

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Daryl@3:633/280.2 to All on Sun Jan 26 09:36:36 2025
    On 26/1/2025 1:12 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 25-Jan-25 7:36 pm, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 7:44 pm, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/
    investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr >>>>>>>>> are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a
    takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong >>>>>>>>> thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong >>>>>>>>> intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt
    others that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current
    airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the
    aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can continue >>>>>>> the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate at the
    specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The
    idea is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.

    I assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to
    takeoff so the system would be only as good as the data therefore it
    doesn't completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?





    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy so
    as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the
    GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which runway
    the aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where
    runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends
    on the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until
    there is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from the
    expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result should
    match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the mass is
    set wrong, or the expected thrust, based on the thrust setting, is
    not being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the
    braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the
    calculated V1 is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends
    on runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    Sylvia.


    My piloting experience is 5hrs training in a helicopter so not much
    but to me it sounds a bit complex and still open to input error to be
    of much value?
    Might be feasible on newer complex aircraft but retrofitting such a
    system on older aircraft would most likely be very expensive and maybe
    not even possible.
    You didn't answer the question about self reporting, was that
    mentioned in the ATSB report?



    I can't find a specific reference to how this came to the attention of
    the ATSB. Most likely it was reported to Qantas Link by the pilots, and Qantas Link then reported it to the ATSB.

    Sylvia.


    Would it be mandatory for the pilots to report to the airline or just
    good practice?
    If the airlines culture encouraged them to report without consequence
    then its a good safety measure, maybe that's why airlines in Australia
    have such a good safety record?

    --
    Daryl

    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Sun Jan 26 19:29:10 2025
    On 25-Jan-25 11:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:44:58 +1100, Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough
    informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr >>>>>>>> are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a
    takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong >>>>>>>> thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong >>>>>>>> intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt others >>>>>>>> that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current
    airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the
    aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can continue
    the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate at the
    specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The idea
    is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.
    ÿI assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system to
    alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to takeoff
    so the system would be only as good as the data therefore it doesn't
    completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?


    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy so
    as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the GPS
    calculated position allows the system to determine which runway the
    aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where runways
    intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends on
    the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until there
    is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from the
    expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result should
    match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the mass is
    set wrong, or the expected thrust, based on the thrust setting, is not
    being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    Not possible to MEASURE that the flaps haven't been set correctly
    before V1 because you can only measure the effect of that after VR
    when rotation has been attempted and it can measure that it doesnt
    see the weight leaving the wheels in the way that it should have,

    The issue is only whether the aircraft will take off at the set Vr,
    which is a function of the flap setting, and aircraft mass. This is
    something that can be determined from the aircraft's flight performance
    data - the same data that the crew use.

    If the flaps are not at the position set for them, that's something that should already have been alerted.


    And given that it is already past V1, no way to abort by then

    Makes a lot more sense to enter all the paramaters that will
    be used like thrust settings and flaps etc and them before
    takeoff power can be applied, check that that has been done.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    Too late by then, its already past V1 so it can't be aborted

    Why is it already past v1?

    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the braking
    distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the calculated V1
    is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends on
    runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    And can't be measured during the takeoff run

    No, it cannot, hence the uncertainty. But if the system assumes good
    braking, and the calculated v1 is less than the set v1, then the set v1
    is wrong regardless of the actual braking conditions.

    Sylvia.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Mon Jan 27 15:17:39 2025
    On 26-Jan-25 5:14 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sun, 26 Jan 2025 19:29:10 +1100, Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 11:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:44:58 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff
    performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough >>>>>>>>>> informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and vr >>>>>>>>>> are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a >>>>>>>>>> takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, wrong >>>>>>>>>> thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from the wrong >>>>>>>>>> intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and no doubt >>>>>>>>>> others that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off
    instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that
    was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current
    airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the >>>>>>>> aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can continue >>>>>>>> the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate at the
    specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The
    idea is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely.
    ÿI assume that you are talking about some sort of automated system
    to alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to
    takeoff so the system would be only as good as the data therefore
    it doesn't completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?


    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for flap,
    thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy
    so as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the
    GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which runway
    the aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, where
    runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting depends
    on the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system waits until
    there is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate the mass from
    the expected thrust, the acceleration and the airspeed. The result
    should match the setting. If it doesn't this means that either the
    mass is set wrong, or the expected thrust, based on the thrust
    setting, is not being achieved. Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    ÿNot possible to MEASURE that the flaps haven't been set correctly
    before V1 because you can only measure the effect of that after VR
    when rotation has been attempted and it can measure that it doesnt
    see the weight leaving the wheels in the way that it should have,

    The issue is only whether the aircraft will take off at the set Vr,
    which is a function of the flap setting, and aircraft mass.

    Yes

    This isÿ something that can be determined from the aircraft'sflight
    performanceÿ data - the same data that the crew use.

    That isnt MEASUREMEMT of the plane's performance during the takeoff run

    If the flaps are not at the position set for them, that'ssomething
    thatÿ should already have been alerted.

    What I said right from the start

    ÿAnd given that it is already past V1, no way to abort by then
    ÿMakes a lot more sense to enter all the paramaters that will
    be used like thrust settings and flaps etc and them before
    takeoff power can be applied, check that that has been done.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    ÿToo late by then, its already past V1 so it can't be aborted

    Why is it already past v1?

    Because that's the only time you know that it can't rotate at the time
    that it should have been able to, because the flap setting is wrong.

    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the
    braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the
    calculated V1 is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance depends
    on runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    ÿAnd can't be measured during the takeoff run

    No, it cannot, hence the uncertainty. But if the system assumes good
    braking, and the calculated v1 is less than the set v1, then the set
    v1 is wrong regardless of the actual braking conditions.

    So its too late to abort the takeoff

    So the only thing that makes any sense is to check that the pilots
    have actually set stuff like flaps and takeoff power they way they
    have calculated needs to be BEFORE the takeoff can happen.

    No point in measuring anything once the takeoff run has started except with the engine performance and that isnt what is being discussed with this incident.

    Do you agree that, knowing only the aerodynamic properties of the
    air-frame, the actual flap position and the actual takeoff weight, the
    correct Vr can be calculated?

    If not, what else is needed?

    Sylvia.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Mon Jan 27 19:56:36 2025
    On 27-Jan-25 4:52 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Mon, 27 Jan 2025 15:17:39 +1100, Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 26-Jan-25 5:14 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sun, 26 Jan 2025 19:29:10 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 11:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:44:58 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff >>>>>>>>>>>>>> performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough >>>>>>>>>>>> informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 and >>>>>>>>>>>> vr are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a >>>>>>>>>>>> takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone
    tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, >>>>>>>>>>>> wrong thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from >>>>>>>>>>>> the wrong intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and >>>>>>>>>>>> no doubt others that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off >>>>>>>>>>> instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines
    not being able to deliver the power they were assumed
    to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to
    be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that >>>>>>>>>>> was not the case in the incident being discussed and
    it would be much easier to discover than much earlier
    in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current
    configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current >>>>>>>>>> airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can the >>>>>>>>>> aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can
    continue the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate >>>>>>>>>> at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. The >>>>>>>> idea is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done safely. >>>>>>> ÿI assume that you are talking about some sort of automated
    system to alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to
    takeoff so the system would be only as good as the data therefore >>>>>>> it doesn't completely eliminate the chances of an error?
    In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?


    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for
    flap, thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be
    correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of discrepancy >>>>>> so as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with the >>>>>> GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which
    runway the aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient,
    where runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting
    depends on the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system
    waits until there is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate
    the mass from the expected thrust, the acceleration and the
    airspeed. The result should match the setting. If it doesn't this >>>>>> means that either the mass is set wrong, or the expected thrust,
    based on the thrust setting, is not being achieved. Either of
    these aborts the takeoff.

    ÿNot possible to MEASURE that the flaps haven't been set correctly
    before V1 because you can only measure the effect of that after VR
    when rotation has been attempted and it can measure that it doesnt
    see the weight leaving the wheels in the way that it should have,

    The issue is only whether the aircraft will take off at the set Vr,
    which is a function of the flap setting, and aircraft mass.
    ÿYes

    This isÿ something that can be determined from the aircraft'sflight
    performanceÿ data - the same data that the crew use.
    ÿThat isnt MEASUREMEMT of the plane's performance during the takeoff run >>>
    If the flaps are not at the position set for them, that'ssomething
    thatÿ should already have been alerted.
    ÿWhat I said right from the start

    ÿAnd given that it is already past V1, no way to abort by then
    ÿMakes a lot more sense to enter all the paramaters that will
    be used like thrust settings and flaps etc and them before
    takeoff power can be applied, check that that has been done.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the
    calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    ÿToo late by then, its already past V1 so it can't be aborted

    Why is it already past v1?
    ÿBecause that's the only time you know that it can't rotate at the time
    that it should have been able to, because the flap setting is wrong.

    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the
    braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the
    calculated V1 is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance
    depends on runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    ÿAnd can't be measured during the takeoff run

    No, it cannot, hence the uncertainty. But if the system assumes good
    braking, and the calculated v1 is less than the set v1, then the set
    v1 is wrong regardless of the actual braking conditions.
    ÿSo its too late to abort the takeoff
    ÿSo the only thing that makes any sense is to check that the pilots
    have actually set stuff like flaps and takeoff power they way they
    have calculated needs to be BEFORE the takeoff can happen.
    ÿNo point in measuring anything once the takeoff run has started
    except with
    the engine performance and that isnt what is being discussed with
    this incident.

    Do you agree that, knowing only the aerodynamic properties of the
    air-frame, the actual flap position and the actual takeoff weight, the
    correct Vr can be calculated?

    Nope, you also need to know the temperature, wind speed and
    direction and there is no way to measure the actual takeoff weight


    Vr is an indicated airspeed, so why do you need to know wind-speed or temperature?

    Do you agree that takeoff weight can be calculated from thrust and acceleration?

    Sylvia.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.0.8.4 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: ---:- FTN<->UseNet Gate -:--- (3:633/280.2@fidonet)
  • From Sylvia Else@3:633/280.2 to All on Tue Jan 28 14:52:28 2025
    On 28-Jan-25 1:33 am, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Mon, 27 Jan 2025 19:56:36 +1100, Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 27-Jan-25 4:52 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Mon, 27 Jan 2025 15:17:39 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 26-Jan-25 5:14 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sun, 26 Jan 2025 19:29:10 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 11:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    On Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:44:58 +1100, Sylvia Else
    <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote:

    On 25-Jan-25 6:19 am, Daryl wrote:
    On 25/1/2025 12:59 am, Sylvia Else wrote:
    On 24-Jan-25 4:21 pm, Rod Speed wrote:
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote
    Rod Speed wrote
    Sylvia Else <sylvia@email.invalid> wrote

    https://www.atsb.gov.au/publications/investigation_reports/2025/ report/ao-2024-038

    It's time all public transport aircraft had takeoff >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> performanceÿ monitoring, no matter the size.

    That isnt going to result in the problemÿ being
    fixed quickly enoughÿ toÿ stop an accident

    Well before an abort becomes risky, the system has enough >>>>>>>>>>>>>> informationtoÿ determine whether the crew calculated v1 >>>>>>>>>>>>>> and vr are correct,

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting.

    and whetherÿ the aircraft will be ableÿ toboth continue a >>>>>>>>>>>>>> takeoff, and stop, at v1.

    Bullshit with that incorrect flaps setting, let alone >>>>>>>>>>>>> tell the pilots that the flaps setting is wrong.

    ÿIt would make much more sense to compare the
    actual settings with that has been entered at the
    preflight config calculations and tell the pilots
    that they have not set what was required with
    flaps and boost etc before they actually applied
    takeoff power and not allow takeoff power to be
    applied before those were set correctly.

    It can issue an abort alert if not.

    ÿSee above

    This covers at least miscalculated v1, miscalculated vr, >>>>>>>>>>>>>> wrong thrust settings, wrong flap settings, starting from >>>>>>>>>>>>>> the wrong intersection, takeoff from the wrong runway, and >>>>>>>>>>>>>> no doubt others that I haven't even thought of.

    It would be stupid to try to measure that while taking off >>>>>>>>>>>>> instead of doing that before takeoff power is applied

    Yes, there is also a different problem with the engines >>>>>>>>>>>>> not being able to deliver the power they were assumed >>>>>>>>>>>>> to be able to deliver the power they were supposed to >>>>>>>>>>>>> be able to deliver in the preflight calculations, but that >>>>>>>>>>>>> was not the case in the incident being discussed and >>>>>>>>>>>>> it would be much easier to discover than much earlier >>>>>>>>>>>>> in the takeoff run than V1 or VR

    The question the system needs to ask is "In the current >>>>>>>>>>>> configuration, with the measured acceleration [*], current >>>>>>>>>>>> airspeed, and current position on the current runway, can >>>>>>>>>>>> the aircraft reach the specified V1 at a point where it can >>>>>>>>>>>> continue the takeoff or abort, and will it be able to rotate >>>>>>>>>>>> at the specified Vr.

    The problem with that approach is that is far too late
    during the takeoff run to be doing that by measurement
    when its much too late for the pilots to be fixing what
    the problem is, particularly when the engines arent
    actually performing the way they were meant to when
    the prefight calculations were done

    There would be no expectation that the pilots would fix it. >>>>>>>>>> The idea is to abort the takeoff while that can still be done >>>>>>>>>> safely.
    ÿI assume that you are talking about some sort of automated >>>>>>>>> system to alert pilots of a configuration error?
    If so wouldn't that rely on data input by the pilots prior to >>>>>>>>> takeoff so the system would be only as good as the data
    therefore it doesn't completely eliminate the chances of an error? >>>>>>>>> In this incident did the pilots self report?
    If they didn't why would the ATSB investigate?


    My thinking is that the system has access to the settings for >>>>>>>> flap, thrust, mass, V1 and Vr. None of these is assumed to be >>>>>>>> correct.

    Also access to GPS and airspeed.

    In the following, the system would allow some level of
    discrepancy so as not to cause unnecessary aborts.

    Once the aircraft is accelerating, its direction together with >>>>>>>> the GPS calculated position allows the system to determine which >>>>>>>> runway the aircraft is on (position alone may not be sufficient, >>>>>>>> where runways intersect).

    The acceleration to be expected from a given thrust setting
    depends on the aircraft's mass, and its airspeed. So the system >>>>>>>> waits until there is a reliable airspeed. It then can calculate >>>>>>>> the mass from the expected thrust, the acceleration and the
    airspeed. The result should match the setting. If it doesn't
    this means that either the mass is set wrong, or the expected >>>>>>>> thrust, based on the thrust setting, is not being achieved.
    Either of these aborts the takeoff.

    ÿNot possible to MEASURE that the flaps haven't been set correctly >>>>>>> before V1 because you can only measure the effect of that after VR >>>>>>> when rotation has been attempted and it can measure that it doesnt >>>>>>> see the weight leaving the wheels in the way that it should have,

    The issue is only whether the aircraft will take off at the set
    Vr, which is a function of the flap setting, and aircraft mass.
    ÿYes

    This isÿ something that can be determined from the
    aircraft'sflight performanceÿ data - the same data that the crew use. >>>>> ÿThat isnt MEASUREMEMT of the plane's performance during the
    takeoff run

    If the flaps are not at the position set for them, that'ssomething >>>>>> thatÿ should already have been alerted.
    ÿWhat I said right from the start

    ÿAnd given that it is already past V1, no way to abort by then
    ÿMakes a lot more sense to enter all the paramaters that will
    be used like thrust settings and flaps etc and them before
    takeoff power can be applied, check that that has been done.

    Vr can now be calculated based the mass and flap setting. If the >>>>>>>> calculated Vr differs from the set Vr, this aborts the takeoff.

    ÿToo late by then, its already past V1 so it can't be aborted

    Why is it already past v1?
    ÿBecause that's the only time you know that it can't rotate at the
    time
    that it should have been able to, because the flap setting is wrong. >>>>>
    ÿFrom the current position, the acceleration and the mass, the >>>>>>>> braking distance can be calculated [*], and from that V1. If the >>>>>>>> calculated V1 is lower than the set V1, then abort take off.

    [*] This is one area of uncertainty, since braking distance
    depends on runway condition (wet, dry, etc.).

    ÿAnd can't be measured during the takeoff run

    No, it cannot, hence the uncertainty. But if the system assumes
    good braking, and the calculated v1 is less than the set v1, then >>>>>> the set v1 is wrong regardless of the actual braking conditions.
    ÿSo its too late to abort the takeoff
    ÿSo the only thing that makes any sense is to check that the pilots
    have actually set stuff like flaps and takeoff power they way they
    have calculated needs to be BEFORE the takeoff can happen.
    ÿNo point in measuring anything once the takeoff run has started
    except with
    the engine performance and that isnt what is being discussed with
    this incident.

    Do you agree that, knowing only the aerodynamic properties of the
    air-frame, the actual flap position and the actual takeoff weight,
    the correct Vr can be calculated?

    ÿNope, you also need to know the temperature, wind speed and
    direction and there is no way to measure the actual takeoff weight

    Vr is an indicated airspeed, so why do you need to know wind-speed or
    temperature?

    You said CALCULATED. Yes you need both to CALCULATE VR.
    so you can attempt to rotate when the indicated air speed reaches
    the value that you have calculated that rotation should be attemped.

    Let me put it another way. How does Vr depend on wind speed or temperature?


    Do you agree that takeoff weight can be calculated from thrust and
    acceleration?

    Not when you can't be sure that the measured thrust has been
    measured accurately particularly when the engines are still
    spinning up after TOGA has been applied, and acceleration
    is also variable, particularly when the wind direction and
    speed is changing substantially during the takeoff run

    There's a significant period between start of takeoff run and a speed
    where an abort starts to become risky. That's plenty of time to measure
    the acceleration, and there's no need to do that before the engine
    thrust has stabilised.

    The issue of changing wind direction also affects the reliability of the aircraft performance tables used by the crew, but the variability does
    not seem to be much of a problem in practice.

    Since the hypothetical system can calculate the instantaneous component
    of the wind along the runway, based on ground speed, barometric pressure (static vent), air temperature, and airspeed, it's in a better position
    than the crew were to allow for it in the calculation of the actual thrust.


    Still makes a lot more sense to check that stuff like flaps,
    engine power, bleed air bypass has actually been set the
    way the pilots have calculated needs to be set before they
    are allowed to actually takeoff and that is MUCH easier to
    do and doesnt require expensive extra equipment in the
    plane and allows the pilots to check that the checking
    system hasnt got it wrong and doesnt need a risky
    attempt to abort the takeoff before V1

    Some incidents have arisen because the crew has put in the wrong data.
    See, for example, Emirates Flight 407. That got close to being a major accident. It's desirable to have systems in place to prevent such
    things. Takeoff performance monitoring is already used. I'm just saying
    its use should be expanded.


    Your approach makes no sense at all except to actually
    measure that the acceleration that should be happening
    actually is happening during the takeoff run because
    there is some problem with at least one engine etc. And
    isnt even possible with the flap setting because you can
    only measure that the expected lift is being seen once an
    attempt at rotation has been attempted because its past
    VR and by then its too late to abort the takeoff because
    the plane is already past V1

    The aircrew calculate Vr without having to wait until they try to
    takeoff, so there's no reason the system cannot do that as well.

    Sylvia.

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